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- BET GOODWIN
- By MCLARKE,
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Posts
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Gonzalo Bueno to beat (-1.5 sets) Alejandro Murkel Dellien Velasco at 3.09 with Coolbet
I'm on this very much. Gonzalo outclassed Murkel just last week and seems to be on a high early season. He should have beaten Ramos 2-0 yesterday but fell just short of it but won easily in the end. Murkel has beaten Gonzalo last season and 2022 but that's old news. The real news is that Bueno is improved and Murkel is not improved and likely never will improve enough to reach top 100 like his brother Hugo. But Gonzalo will improve more and with Luis Horna as a coach and former peruvian top 50 he's moving up the rankings this season. He already as I mentioned has beaten Murkel just last week in the quarter by 2 sets to love so here's another one probably with this improved version of Gonzalo Bueno.
Bueno making heavy weather of the first set, but ahead in the tie-break. Regardless of the outcome, I like the bet as Murkel Dellien Velasco is distinctly average as you say.
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Had 1.50 on the daily L15
6.00 Km Night Arc 0.25 ew at 50/1
7.30 Km Misty Sky 1 pt win at 7.6 for 6.47 profit
8.00 Km Civil Law 0.75 ew at 33/1
Total stakes = 4.50 today
Outsiders ran ok but not placed. Misty Sky wins so a small profit on the day 4.47. Bal C/Fwd = 8.74 less L15's balance -7.70 = + 1.04 net
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Lucky15Ref: 705093070
4 Selections
7. Fihrayn - 4/1Winner - 18:00 Kempton2. Misty Sky - 6/1Winner - 19:30 Kempton2. Paradias - 3/1Winner - 20:00 Kempton8. Doublethetrouble - 11/1Winner - 20:30 KemptonStake£ 1.50Potential Returns£ 311.90A win double today = a profit 2.40. Net Bal C/Fwd -7.70
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Beat our longest game this month by a minute but still didn't quite make the second break . Brutal last hand.
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Not too long now until I close my book and cross my fingers. Given that Zverev has caused Djokovic plenty of problems in the past it seems prudent to add to my position on him in case he gets the win, and I've done that at 8.25. I'm also putting a little more on Keys at 23.54 - I don't expect her to beat Swiatek, but at the same time her power game is the style which tends to cause Swiatek the most problems and if she does have one of her good days then I'd regret not backing her at a nice price.
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