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Total Posts -
Posts
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3.35 Brighton dees dream 18/1 e/w bet365
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@MCLARKE In the table i will post i have taken an average of your total figures and used that (942 ÷ 14) for the adjusted total of Henry Longfellow, i have had to do the same for two of RP Stopwatch.
Edited by Zilzalian
tag added -
2 hours ago, Zilzalian said:
Can you not rate Henry Longfellow as though its last 2 races were class 1 which they were? Or is the system more complex than that?
To calculate the going allowance for the total card I would have to know the class adjustment for each race on the card.
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2 hours ago, harry_rag said:
This does seem to be an unfortunate flaw in that it means you can’t properly rate some of the biggest and best races. Obviously it’s good that your process will be largely automated for a lot of races but it would be good if you could have a quick way to come up with an indicative rating for such horses so you can fully rate the big events when you want to. It will certainly make any comparison of different people’s ratings more valuable.
I assume some of the other posters with a more flexible approach could help you come up with a viable and reasonably quick approach?
I'm getting a bit lazy in my old age, I enjoy the analysis of my data but don't really enjoy manually inputting data which is what I would have to do for the foreign races.
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Just now, LeMale said:
My 2 pennies worth is, it's very much swings and round-abouts and as a @Zilzalian Type 2.5 (kind of inbetween) i make a judgement call depending on the odds at the time i'm betting, which can be very beneficial (like in the race you mentioned - placed bet at 16-1 with 365 win bet not ew because price too low, got BOG as sp was 33-1) or can backfire badly, just like the race after that with Moutarde where i split the bet, half at 40-1 (and 2 mins after went to 50-1) and half at sp both ew with skybet. At the time i was gutted i took the 40's as price was rising, but like i said, it backfired because it went off at 12-1 i think and lost £16.80 on the sp bet. I will try to put them on here at the end as don't want anybody thinking i'm a "hindsight punter" as long as no one laughs at my stakes. (it's what keeps it fun and not really gambling in my eyes) It can be frustrating when that 16-1 shot drifts to a big price (a price that i would normally bet ew) and it places, so i get nothing, but when it wins like yesterday i make more, like i said, swings and round-abouts you have to take the rough with the smooth, that's racing.
Couldn't put both up, so here's the other one.
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