The big handicap chase at Cheltenham racecourse this Saturday is the Paddy Power Podcast Handicap Chase (not the catchiest title I’ve ever seen!). This premier handicap is run over 2 miles, 4 furlongs and 127 yards. It is open to horses aged 5 years or older.
17 runners go to post and the off time is 1.50. I take a look at the betting trends and statistics ahead of this race to see which horses look the best value. Find my horse racing tips for this race down below.
Bookies offer opportunity
Most bookmakers offer each-way terms of 5 places (William Hill is offering 6 places) which makes the race a very good betting proposition given the field of horses set to run.
It could be worth making a note of the winner of this race. Frodon won this in 2018 before winning at the showpiece Cheltenham Festival the following year. Sirrah Du Luc won this in 2019 before winning at the festival a few weeks later.
Don’t worry about the weight
I have looked at the statistics for this race and these are my key conclusions. Those horses high in the weights have a good record. Horses carrying more than 11st 6lbs have won 5 times from 25 attempts with a level stakes profit of £15. Their lighter opponents have a record of 3 wins from 62 attempts with a loss of £36.
Inexperienced horses have performed much better than their more experience competitors. Horses that have had more than 17 career runs have not had any successes from 29 attempts.
Paddy Power Podcast Chase betting tips
Forecast favourites have a poor record with no wins from 9 attempts. There are two horses that match these criteria…
CARIBEAN BOY – available at 25/1 with Bet365
BRAVE SEASCA – available at 11/1 with William Hill (6 places)
I recommend backing both of these each way.
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All odds accurate at the time of writing.
