On Tuesday evening at 20:00 pm, GMT, Chelsea will go again at home to Liverpool. They spent a lot of money in order to bring Graham Potter to Stamford Bridge. He in turn spent a lot of money on various signings, none of which were what they really needed. A striker. Evident in the beating of Aston Villa at the weekend. They then spent loads of money paying him off. Nevertheless, I take a look at the match tonight and provide my best football tips, trends, and analysis to help you beat the bookie.
You can’t win games without goals
It may sound obvious but Chelsea’s biggest issues have, of course, been the lack of goals and the lack of a proper out-and-out striker. In the last 12 home matches, Chelsea has scored just 9 goals. Compare that to Manchester City, who have 30. Indeed, Chelsea only beat Crystal Palace and Southampton in that regard. And look how they’re doing.
In reality, Chelsea has actually overperformed in some regards once you find out how many goals they’ve scored. Despite those awful numbers they still have only lost 3 of their last 8 and won 3 and are 1pt away from the top 10. Of course, that’s not ‘Chelsea standard’ but the goals need to start going in. They have an average of 13 shots on target at home and 5 on average, on Target. Raheem Sterling could improve things a lot for Chelsea and he is tipped to come back into the side after injury. A welcome boost for Chelsea.
Away form troubles Liverpool
Liverpool has only won 2 of their last 8 away matches and that’s largely why some people are talking about Klopp potentially being in trouble. They’ve only scored 7 goals in those 8 matches so in reality, they suffer from similar issues. They also concede too many away, with 15 conceded in that period. A win for Liverpool would take them into the top 7. However, if they lose this one it would be the first time they’ve lost 3 matches back-to-back since Feb 2021.
They have no new injury concerns but are still without Diaz and Thiago.
Everything points to another draw
If we look at the last 5 matches between these two, it’s been a draw in each and every match. The last three have all been 0-0 with the two prior to that being 2-2 and 1-1.
If we look at the lack of goals for Chelsea at home and the lack of goals for Liverpool away. Plus, the lack of a manager for Chelsea and the problems for Liverpool away from home then perhaps both sides would be happy with a draw.
Chelsea vs Liverpool Betting tips
I can’t deny that it looks like a draw tonight. Everything screams 0-0 or 1-1 to me and so the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ has to be the play for me. I will also have a bet on the draw. I can see Chelsea finally scoring here with Sterling back in the team and I think both teams would settle for a draw.
Under 2.5 goals 10/11 @ bet365
Draw 12/5 @ Betfair
